The Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season forecast for 2016 has been issued by the Colorado State University with the aim of informing the general public of how active the upcoming hurricane season is expected to be. The forecasts are based on global oceanic and atmospheric conditions that were observed in the past years and provide meaningful information concerning similar trends or patterns of hurricane seasons that are likely to occur in the upcoming seasons.
In the report, it stated that for this year, it calls for a total of twelve named storms, five hurricanes and two major hurricanes. The Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season will have an average level of hurricane activity and according to the forecasters, it is anticipated that the El Niño will change into either neutral of La Niña conditions when the hurricane season is at its peak.
When it comes to Belize, the figures show that there is a 33 percent chance that one or more storms will hit approximately fifty miles away from the country with only a 6 percent chance of a major hurricane approaching nearby. The report also makes mention that there is a thirty nine percent possibility that a named storm will enter Belize at approximately one hundred miles away resulting in an eighteen percent chance that a hurricane can hit that close.
Apart from hurricane Alex which developed earlier this year in January, the other names that were selected for this year’s hurricane season are Colin, Danielle, Earl, Fiona, Gaston, Hermine, Ian, Julia, Karl, Lisa, Matthew, Nicole, Otto, Paula, Richard, Shary, Tobias, Virginie and Walter.
And while it is probable that there is a near average likelihood for major hurricanes that will create landfall along the coastline of the United States and the Caribbean, the report stated that, and we quote, “Coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted”. End of quote.
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